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Real VisionMarch 04, 2021
The Reflationary Handbook: Short Tech, Long Energy
Teddy Vallee, founder and CIO of Pervalle Global, returns to Real Vision to share his latest views on economic growth, interest rates, commodities, and tech stocks. Citing everything from soaring retail sales figures to elevated levels of personal savings, Vallee projects that economic growth for U.S. GDP could be as high as 12%. In this reflationary environment, Vallee expects that bonds will continue to sell-off and that energy stocks will thrive while technology stocks will fare poorly. Filmed on March 1, 2021. Key learnings: Due to his lofty projections for economic growth (around 12%), Vallee estimates that U.S. nominal and real 10 year Treasury yields are likely to rise 100-150 basis points over the following 12-14 months. Accordingly, he expects tech multiples compression 20-30%, and energy equities, particularly those in Latin America, performing well. Because energy comprises a small percentage of the S&P 500 relative to tech, this period of reflationary growth could actually result in negative returns for the broad index.
Real VisionMarch 03, 2021
Bonds, Commodities, and the Fed's Moment of Truth
In the first segment, Lyn Alden of Lyn Alden Investment Strategy shares with Real Vision editor Jack Farley her thoughts on how the ongoing rout in U.S. Treasurys will amplify the rotation away from growth stocks and into cyclical stocks. Alden opines on how the Federal Reserve could aim to reassert control over the bond market, whether it be “Operation Twist” or yield curve control. In the second and final segment, Farley welcomes Howard Klein, founder and partner at RK Equity, to give a strategic update of key parts of the mining sector such as graphite, nickel, and, most notably, lithium. Klein shares news on lithium miners such as Albemarle Corp ($ALB), Livent Corp ($LTHM), and Piedmont Lithium ($PLL), to which Klein is an advisor and is also up over 1000% since September 1, 2020. Klein explains why he thinks we are at the beginning of a commodity bull market and shares his views on MP Materials ($MP) and Nouveau Monde Graphite ($NMGRF).
Real VisionMarch 03, 2021
Generational Wealth: How to Preserve and Grow Your Money
The greatest generational wealth transfer in history is currently taking place. In the upcoming years, trillions of dollars and assets will be passed from baby boomers to later generations. Real Vision's Haley Draznin is joined by Mike Boyd, an Australian expat living in Singapore who specializes in the world of multi-generational wealth creation, family enterprise, and family office investing. Generational wealth typically doesn't surpass the third generation, but Boyd discusses how to set up a value system of wealth that focuses on making decisions for long-term success. Filmed February 22, 2020. Key Learnings: 80% of generationally wealthy families are experiencing wealth for the first time. Investing in things like a family constitution, having intentional family meetings, developing stewardship, and establishing a family governance system will help create more sustainable means for future generations.
Real VisionMarch 02, 2021
A New Yield Regime: Commodity-Led Rally in the Making
Real Vision senior editor Ash Bennington welcomes back Tony Greer of TG Macro where he declares that the five sigma sell-off in Treasuries last week marks the beginning of a new yield regime that will support a resources-led rally in earnest. Greer points to the dramatic move in rates being a response to visible commodity inflation, which is indicative of its strength. Because Greer sees a resources-led rally emerging, he explains why this is bad news for the tech sector over the next few months. After walking through the signals that are telling Greer that “this time is different,” he discusses how he’s positioning himself and what he’s eyeing in light of these changing market dynamics that continue to escalate.

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